BTN Predictions: Week 9 vs. BYU

Logo1Derek

I am pretty bad at predicting.  I am really good, however, at being an optimist.  Each week I predict impending doom for our opponent – our Broncos will finally put together a complete game, completely dominate, and the result will be a blowout of epic proportions.  Each week, we show flashes of brilliance. Sometimes it is on defense.  Sometimes it is on offense.  It has yet to be both at the same time for an entire game yet.  The Fresno State game was about as close as we have come, but a fumble in our own red zone by Dallas Burroughs changed the flow and made the game closer than it should be.  A young team, a new coaching staff with new schemes  -we are bound to have some growing pains.

If you tried to predict this game a few weeks ago, you might have predicted a blowout, but by the wrong team.  Things sure have changed.  Taysom Hill goes down, and what do you know BYU is on a three game losing streak.  It feels like Boise State is slowly trending up while BYU is in a complete nose-dive down.  This game should be a close one (Vegas says it is a seven point win for the Broncos), but I can’t change my ways now, right?  After weeks of having faith that my team is going to go #HAMPlanet on a team I can’t say we are going to play a tight game against a wounded animal.  So here it is – we FINALLY put it all together – our offensive line lays down the tracks for the J-Train, Grant Hedrick has another solid game passing, our defensive line sacks Christian Stewart six times, and Jeremy McNichols takes one to the house on a kick return. It wont be a blow-out of epic proportions, but this game will never feel close.  Boise State 42 BYU 23.

Noel

I’m a homer.  I always will be.  I have no problem always picking the Broncos.  If we were habitually on the losing side of games, I might change my tune. But, this isn’t the University of Idaho (I had to get a dig in.) and we are home favorites for a reason.   The Blue Turf is despised by everyone outside the program.  Haters give a plethora of explanations like “camouflage” and “ugliness”.  I say because it has an aura around it.  It feeds the Broncos.  It gives an extra glue between the fans and the team.  Boise State needs that atmosphere to win this game.  Grant is efficient, our defense gets a score, the crowd creates dumb penalties for the Cougars, and the Broncos win, 38-24.  #HAMPlanet

Tami

I really hope this game is a blowout, for a myriad of reasons. I want to see all too smug, local BYU fans in their Bronco gear the rest of the season, after Boise destroys them. I want Coach Mendenhall to again throw his team under the bus in the media in the postgame. Sad BYU fans throwing a fit after a week of borderline nasty smack talk would be stuff that legends are made of. I want to see a systematic dementing of BYU’s entire offensive and defensive schemes. A truly raucous Bronco Albertson’s Stadium will be required because the Cougars, despite all the underdog talk of a program at the brink, will most certainly bring their A game. It’s going to be a fight and since I have to pick, I guess BSU wins, 28-21.

Gage

The Broncos are at home, yes, stating the obvious, but thus far on the season that means one thing…. one. very. important. thing. Jay Ajayi balls out at home. He’s averaging 5.9 YPC with 7 TD’s. Jay is the Broncos rock, period. He is NUMBER ONE in the country for total touches; we go as he goes. *On pins & needles every time he fights for extra yards and takes a big hit* … ‘Get up baby, get up’

Going off what Derek mentioned above, I am also waiting for a week where the Broncos piece it all together. Could it happen this week, maybe. But my sloppy, unreliable, and usually wrong intuition has me feeling otherwise… I think the Taysom Hill-less Cougars will put up a good fight, preventing a lopsided Bronco victory – hang around for 3 quarters or so and make the final score look closer than it actually was. Broncos 31 BYU 17

Heath

I am not exactly sure how to look at this game. BYU has not been great without Hill and if Nevada can beat them, so can we, right? Boise State doesn’t lose at home, Jay Ajayi is a different person on “The Blue” and yet I find myself worried. I guess that basically sums up this season though. The crowd should be intense tonight and I think that gives us a big boost. This game is quietly becoming a solid rivalry that could be great for years to come. Rivalry games however tend to be close, at least the better rivalries do. Because of that, I going to say Boise State 34, BYU 28. As great as the Cougars defense has been against the run Jay Ajayi is going to get his tonight. I also trust Hedrick at home much more than I do on the road. The question of this game will be our defense against BYU’s offense. In a weird turn of events from the start of the season I know. But BYU is going to air it out against us tonight. If our defense can  step up, I am confident we can win this game.

Also of note, I hate BYU, and I just wanted to end on this. Few schools get my blood boiling the way BYU does. Idaho and Nevada probably hold a higher rating in the overall “hate” index, but BYU and their fans do everything they can yearly it seems to pass them. Go Broncos!

BTN Predictions: Week 8 vs. Cal State – Fresno

Derek

We are half way through the season and we have certainly seen some ups and downs from this team.  It certainly makes it tough for us to predict.  Last time I did not really predict how the game would go – just that emotion alone would win.  I was right. It was a tough game, going back and forth with lots of scoring, but ultimately emotion won out, and you could tell by the post-game celebration.

Emotion will play a part in this weeks match-up against Fresno State as well. I am sure that losing by one point left a bad taste in the mouths of the players, on top of the fact that Fresno seems to think it is a new era in the rivalry.  Unlike last weeks game however, we are at home on the Blue, and do not have to deal with the opposing team’s emotion of protecting their home field.  I also feel like this is the week that the Broncos finally put together a complete game.  Fresno has had an ugly season up to this point. On Friday night, it will get uglier.  Boise State 56 Fresno 12

Tami

Boise State appears to be on the verge of their first truly complete game of the season. Like, any minute now. (I’ve been calling for this since UConn, so ¯_(ツ)_/¯.) I think the boys in blue will be sufficiently hyped after last season, and in an emotionally and physically good state coming off a bye. The game is in the friendly confines of Bronco Stadium, and Fresno is not a good football team. The Bulldogs are coming off a rather sad loss to UNLV in OT and I’m guessing the crowd and the lights and Boise State’s level of execution will mess with them. Boise’s stout defense should bother QB Brian Burrell into coughing up some turnovers. They also must contain Fresno’s RB Marteze Waller and dangerous WR Josh Harper, but Fresno isn’t exactly Ole Miss and it’s hard to be really concerned. The Broncos offense has been more consistent in the red zone since Air Force, and shouldn’t have an issue putting points on the board against the Dog’s porous D. Of course, it’s just as possible that Fresno plays outta their mind, but even then I think the crowd will help swing momentum Boise’s way when they really need it. BSU wins by a bunch. Broncos 48 – Fresno 10.

Heath

Being at home gives me all the confidence in the world. There is just something special about Boise State when they play Fresno in Boise. And because of that, I don’t see any scenario where Boise State loses their first time ever to Fresno on “The Blue”. Jay Ajayi is positioned to have another massive game, and the Fresno State offense is going to serve up big chances for our defense to make plays. That being said, I am leaning towards a convincing win in the range of 42-20 Boise State.

Noel

I’m not going to lie, I’ve been horrible at this (in case you haven’t noticed. So, I asked the Mrs. for her opinion this week.  We both agree that the Broncos will win this game. I am worried about WR Josh Harper but that’s really all.  Their run game won’t be able to muster anything.  If the Boise State offense gets going, will the Bulldogs be able to stop it with any regularity? FRES-NOPE.  Grant has a decent game and hits 2 deep balls.  SWR will score once.  And Jay gets at least 2 scores.  I say the final will be 42-24.  In case you’re wondering, Mrs. H said 42-31.

Gage

Fresno, Fresno, Fresno… I love you so. Some of the most prolific — high-scoring — nail-biting — gut-wrenching  games have taken place between these two teams. One being last year. Which unfortunately reminds me Fresno squeaked out a 41-40 victory. I happen to break my phone that night… coincidence….?

This year should be a different story. Derek Carr gone – Fresno’s potency gone with. Their defense is dismal at best … giving up 50+ points in four of their seven games so far. YIKES. Somewhat like the Broncos … Fresno’s offense is struggling to achieve consistency. Already mentioned by everyone above, Fresno has one serious threat — Josh Harper. If Cleshawn Page and the rest of the Broncos secondary are able to contain him, the Milk Can shall belong to the Broncos once again. Boise State 49 Fresno 17

 

 

BTN Predictions – Week 6: At Nevada

Derek

After the Louisiana game a couple of weeks ago, it appeared that Boise State was starting to put it all together.  The defense continued to dominate, Grant Hedrick had a solid game, and we were seeing signs of the ball being spread around to more than just the “Big Three”.  There were definitely reasons to be optimistic heading into the Air Force game.  I expected a tough, close game – especially considering how the Broncos have fared on the road recently – but was not expecting to be dominated like we were by the Falcons.  Many people used the word “debacle”, and it truly was.  The results of the past two games truly make it hard to predict this one.  Was the Air Force game an anomaly? Was it just some growing pains of a new staff and the players continuing to learn together?  Or was that what this team is – average at best – going to win some and lose some?  If you know me, read my writings, or follow me on Twitter, you know that I am an optimist – to a fault maybe – and that will not change.   I see no reason to think negatively or doubt what myself, others, or this football team are capable of.  I am concerned about going on the road still, however this game typically has more Bronco fans attending than any other road trip.  I also think the Air Force game was a wake up call to both the coaches and the team.  I am not going to go into specifics about what players are key, which sides of the ball have the advantage, or how this game goes.  This game will be an emotional one, both because of who and where we are playing, and what happened last week, so this is a purely emotional pick.  Boise State bounces back, and continues to grow under Harsin and staff.  Boise State 31 – Nevada 21.

Tami

Nevada is a pretty good team. The Wolf Pack’s only loss so far came at the hands of Arizona, the team that beat Oregon at Autzen on Thursday night. Boise is a very talented team who is still trying to find consistency. The performance last week at Air Force makes this game quite hard to predict – I know what I want to see out of the Broncos, but a big run game, some nice deep throws to open up the field for Jay, and a shut-down defense may be more than we can hope for. The X factor is the fact that Nevada is the closest thing we have to a rivalry, and the hate is palpable. Losing to them would be a tremendous blow. So, assuming that Grant has his confidence back, the coaches are on and have everybody ready, and that some of the guys that have been out injured are able to come back (hi there defense), Boise should be able to make this a game. I’m homering it up and calling for a win for the good guys: Boise State 28 – Nevada 24. 

Dan Goodale, please be ready. We’re going to need Dead Center Dan to go to Reno and kick a ball just to watch a man and his middle fingers die.

Noel

I’m on the fence about this one. Last week was a horrid week on the field for Grant Hedrick and, if he paid any attention to the fan base, he didn’t have a good time post-game either.  His mindset is one of the keys to the game.  If his head is on straight, the offense will be sufficient. The other key is the defense. Coach Harsin and CoachYates can take some cues from Arizona’s defense on gap-integrity. and how to contain a “running” quarterback. Fajardo can eat teams up on the ground. Here’s how I see it – Broncos offense performs and the defense destroys the Nevada running game.  Broncos win 35-20 and I lob double-birds at Nevada fan on the TV.

Gage

This game might be a defining point in an already up and down season. As Derek pointed out – after beating the Ragin’ Cajuns – Boise State fans felt like the Broncos might have their mojo back, potentially leading to a chain of W’s. I felt this way myself. Short lived serenity to say the least. Air Force kindly provided a needle to Boise State’s balloon of confidence and the Broncos offense inserted it for them; with not 1.. not 2.. not 3.. but 7 turnovers.

I’ve tossed and turned all week about this game. My stabbing paranoia has me thinking the Broncos will under perform again and Nevada will win – allowing their egotistical fans to boast it in the Broncos face 2010 style. Then, on the other hand, my usual homerism has me thinking the Broncos will storm into Reno with a “F this” mentality – F last week, F the season opener, and F you Nevada. Checks to make sure I’m not a 13-year-old girl. 

I’m so atrocious at predicting final scores or even coming close (check out my previous predictions) therefore I’m going to plead the 5th on guessing this weeks final score and do so because of my superstitious nature. I will predict a close game though. Maybe even OT? Yikes. I don’t know if my heart can handle OT. But… if there are more than three “wtf Grant?” moments, prepare for another sad week in Bronco land.

Heath

I am not sure what to even say here honestly. I look at the Air Force game and then I look at the this game and I get worried. When you watch the turnovers of Hedrick my concern was a lot of throws were just inaccurate. Going into Reno the pressure on him is going to be a lot, can he handle it? I guess we will find out, but I don’t have a great feeling about it. Even with all that though, I have to remind myself I trust Harsin when it comes to the QB position and this can be no different. My other major concern going into Reno is looking at Jay Ajayi’s stat line on the road this year. If you follow me on Twitter you might have seen it, but if not here is what you need to know.

Jay Ajayi at home averages 6.1 yards per carry this season – on the road this season, 3.4.

So for us to win, Jay has to break this bad start to the road this season, and Hedrick has to be a completely different QB. Oh and I can’t forget the defense has to continue to dominate at an incredible level… Yeah, I think you guys know where I am going with this…And that is despite all this, Boise State thrives in positions like this, this is what makes BSU great. Broncos win 34 – 17.

 

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Former Boise State player and Blue Turf Nation contributor Jason Robinson has established a Kickstarter to help fund his clothing line Already The Leader, which focuses on producing high-end, everyday apparel built for the athletic body type.  Check out this message from Jason, and click the link below the video to help out!

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