BTN Predictions Week 13: Wyoming

Derek

I am not sure why we even do this anymore.  It is obvious that this team, if anything, is unpredictable.  But we are here to entertain and entertain we will!  So what are the possibilities against Wyoming on Saturday?

Is it possible that WYO is gradually getting better, and the Fresno game was not an anomaly? Are we strolling into an ambush at 7,165 feet?

Are the teams more evenly matched then most think?  Is this going to be one of those close, low scoring games like the one that nearly ruined our 2006 Fiesta Bowl dream?

Or will this be the game that Boise State finally puts together a complete effort in all phases of the game and absolutely obliterates them like we did in our 51-6 stomping in 2010?

Sigh.  Who knows.  The way we have played on the road it is almost stupid to predict a blowout. But it REALLY feels like this team is on the precipice of putting it all together.

The conditions of the game against SDSU may have done this team some good. Despite doing the pre-game warm ups shirtless, I am sure there was some sort of shock once the game started.  They know what to expect from the cold now, and my guess is it will be a non-factor (probably for both teams).  I am predicting that we finally get the much talked about fast start from the Broncos, and a dominating defensive performance where we see our guys in the Cowboys backfield more than we see the Cowboys in the end-zone.  Boise State 44 Wyoming 9

Tami

Wyoming isn’t the best team that Boise State has faced this season, not by a mile. They don’t have the talent of Ole Miss or the defensive ability to get the Broncos to turn the ball over a bajillion times like AFA. What the Pokes do have is a whole lot of toughness and a very good first year head coach. They have the snowy wind howling through War Memorial Stadium, and a history of hating on Boise State but never beating them.

I want this to be a blowout. If the Coaches make “starting fast” happen, the Cowboys could be just as demoralized by the half as BYU was vs. BSU. However, with the Broncos playing so strangely on the road, it’s hard to say definitively. Winning is good, and what the Broncos are doing best right now. They may not be pretty, but they count. Wyoming is going to fight like hell against Boise State, but it won’t be enough. Broncos 35, Pokes 21.

Noel

Obviously, I’m horrible at this but I’ll give it another go (because you want me to, right?). I think that with the weather the Broncos had at home last week, it won’t play much of a factor. It will be a balmy 33 degrees at kickoff.  The wind may cause a minor issue as it’ll be 22 mph. On paper and record-wise, Boise State is a better team. But, they don’t start well and that is an issue, especially on the road. I do give the edge to the Broncos in this one though. I think that, despite the wind, Grant will be able to get short to mid-range routes consistently and Jay may have his best all-around game as the ground game will have to be featured later in the evening.  The defense will keep the Cowboys under 300 yards.  You heard it here!  Boise State 38, Wyoming 13

Heath

Wind, weather, weird starts for BSU none of that sounds great. But I am starting to believe in what this team has inside of them. The defense will have to come ready to play but if they do that this should be an easy game. I have been to a Boise State vs Wyoming game and the team didn’t seem to have any issues with the elevation or cold. I haven’t done very well at picking scores this season, I don’t think I have really even been close. But this week I am going Boise State 31 Wyoming 17.

 

Dear Marshall – A Letter From Boise State Fans

Letter

Dear Marshall,

Hey how are you guys doing? I see you guys have an undefeated record! Congratulations on that! We have had a few those, it is pretty awesome to get tons of attention and see your team on ESPN and college football talk shows huh? I also see you guys might have some “big” schools looking to steal your coach… Trust me, we get that as well… Anyways, I was just writing to you guys about the possible “Access Bowl” our fan bases are fighting over right now. See, I know you guys have had a great season and trust me, we really do respect an undefeated record. We have been telling other fans for years that if it was so easy then why don’t all schools do it? But here is the thing Marshall, this season we have two losses… And yes, I know you guys have beat everybody on your schedule, and once again be very proud of that! It is just well, see, we think we deserve the Access Bowl more than you guys… Yes, I know all of a sudden we sound like everything we hate/have hated for years during the BCS. But please, understand it is not our fault, and it is definitely not you guys, I mean seriously you guys are awesome. The movie “We Are Marshall” who doesn’t love that movie? And it even had Matthew Mcconaughey in it so that tells you everything right? But again, I digress, and need to return to the point. See we honestly don’t mean to sound like everything we have always hated, the Alabama, Oklahoma, Florida, USC fans who always said our strength of schedule sucks and we don’t deserve to be in (insert big game here). But this is what the system has done to us, this is what it has created. We are all sharks in the water fighting for a that dead carcass the “Power 5″ have left for us, the carcass that is the chance to play in a meaningless “Big Bowl” that ultimately means nothing on the national stage. So once again, we are sorry, know that it is not you, it is just the situation we all find ourselves in. Maybe someday we can be friends again, maybe someday we can all realize that we shouldn’t hate each other, or be fighting with each other. Instead, we should be focused on the bigger issue here and that is the system we are forced to live in. Until that time though, know that we are rooting for you to lose, and for us to win. It is nothing personal, it is just business.

Best Regards,

Boise State Fans

BTN Playoff Rankings & Access Bowl Rankings

cfpHeath

Playoff Rankings

1.) Florida State

2.) Alabama

3.) TCU

4.) Oregon

On the outside looking in – Baylor, Ohio State.

Breakdown: For me this week not a lot changed. Mississippi State is out, Alabama (puke) is in. I refuse to give two spots to the SEC and and my personal rankings will continue to show that. Some people might have TCU out because of a lackluster performance. However I still think they are the team that should come out of the Big-12 overall. Yes, they lost to Baylor but overall they have done some really great things this season. I could easily put Baylor in their spot but right now I am holding onto TCU. As for Florida State, I was really happy thinking they were going to lose to Miami. But, because they won, I begrudgingly keep them as the #1 team, somebody has to beat them for them to disappear. Lastly, I have Oregon, and I have to say it sure does seem like a lot of teams I really dislike are in the top 4 and it sucks. But the Pac-12 deserves a team in the tournament and right now Oregon is the team in line.


Access Bowl Rankings

1.) Marshall

2.) Boise State

3.) Colorado State

4.) Air Force

5.) Cincinnati

I know, I heard it from Boise State fans last week, and I will hear it again. But I just don’t see Boise State’s 2 losses outdoing Marshall’s undefeated record right now in the committees mind. Trust me, I hope I am wrong, and I would love to say I am wrong if indeed that is the case. But I just don’t see it right now, and frankly Boise State still has a long way to go before they change my mind. I am as die-hard as anybody but in this situation after all the years of BCS letdowns, I just don’t see us as the team right now. A Mountain West Championship could change my mind. Marshall right now though has the edge though and I sit here just waiting for a loss. The “big” difference in my rankings this week is ECU is out of contention and Air Force with Cincinnati moves in. To be honest, I don’t really feel like anybody after my top 3 deserve a shot. But considering chaos is still a possibility here those are my next two teams right now.


 Noel

Playoff Rankings

1.) Florida State

2.) Oregon

3.) Alabama

4.) TCU

On the outside looking in – Mississippi State, Ohio State.

Breakdown: With Mississippi State and Arizona State losing, it clears out the picture just a little. Well, to me at least. I had thought that the Bulldogs and Sun Devils were going to take care of business but no dice.  Alabama showed that they can get the big wins most of the time.  I didn’t move Florida State because of what I said last week.  They’re undefeated for the better part of 2 years.  Just because they play like a bottom-feeder doesn’t mean they should penalized like they lost.  I moved Oregon up to #2 and Alabama at #3 because that would be a fun semifinal to watch.  TCU won ugly, but they won so they get to stay put. The Bulldogs and the Buckeyes are on the outside looking in. It may well stay that way because the top 4 are pretty strong.


 

Access Bowl Rankings

1.) Marshall

2.) Boise State

3.) Georgia Southern

4.) Colorado State

5.) Air Force

 

Breakdown: Just like Heath, I’m going to give the nod to Marshall. They’re currently ahead of Boise State in the AP Poll (I know that means little) but since no one from a non-power conference is ranked in the College Football Playoff, that’s all I have to go from.  The only way the Broncos slide up in there is if the Thundering Herd falls.  I keep putting Georgia Southern in there because they are a triple option team that’s undefeated. No matter how much you prepare, triple option teams are tough.  I put Colorado State and Air Force in because, quite frankly, there aren’t a bunch of options.  But those teams need a Pandora’s Box of other teams’ failures to even be considered.


Tami

Playoff Rankings

1.) Florida State

2.) Oregon

3.) Alabama

4.) TCU

Breakdown: Man, that Mississippi State/Bama game was a doozy, wasn’t it? It exposed the Bulldogs for what they are though – not the best team in the SEC. So, up moves Bama to number 3. I think Oregon has that #2 on lock. Florida State is still doing Florida State things, so on top they remain. TCU is a solid 4 for now, but if Mississippi State wins out, they are in jeopardy of being jumped. Texas just won’t bring enough SOS to bail the Horned Frogs out if it’s a close game.


Access Bowl Rankings

1.) Marshall

2.) Boise State

3.) Colorado State

4.) Northern Illinois

5.) Air Force

Breakdown: Logic brain says that the committee seems to be holding SOS in less esteem than the BCS used to. That being undefeated with that weak of a schedule is going to keep Marshall out of the access bowl because their behavior is consistent with that decision, even if they aren’t ranking any G5 team as of yet. The angel on the shoulder is screaming about hypocrisy and that Marshall was only capable of playing the schedule in front of them and “should be” rewarded for going undefeated because that’s “fair.” Just because the angel’s view is what allows me to sleep at night doesn’t mean she’s correct. So, hey, the cold auditor in my brain is telling me to prepare for Boise State to end up ranked and headed to Glendale to meet our fates with whatever poor schmoe gets assigned this Broncos squad. Still putting them at #2 for now. Colorado State, owners of the best record in the MWC lost the head to head to Boise, so #3 you go. Northern Illinois is likely going to win the MAC this season, too bad the MAC is kinda terrible right now. Air Force brings up the fifth spot, but has virtually no chance of making an access bowl without the intervention of the chaos monster.

Attack The Opponent: Wyoming Cowboys

The Cowboys are 4-6 under first year head coach Craig Bohl, somehow beating Air Force and Fresno in conference. They nearly took out Colorado State, hailed by many as the best team in the MWC right now. They haven’t really truly been blown out by anybody in the Mountain West. All that combined with the fact that their place might be the second hardest place to play in conference other than Boise State makes the game coming up this Saturday require inordinate focus.

Playing at Wyoming seems like it would be the exact opposite experience of a Bronco home game. Whereas Albertsons Stadium is a riot of bright blue and orange and noise, War Memorial Stadium is a drab and fairly sparse collection of folks in brown and yellow. The wind howls and the snow blows and momentum can get sucked away like a dementor feeding on joy.

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Harsin and Ginny Weasley share a patronus. #hashtagHPGeek

Then again, the Broncos are on a roll. The Cowboys will be tough, because that’s kind of the Cowboy deal all-around. Those guys don’t just lay down, roll over, and die. Nobody is going to do that anymore, and it’s making football a much more exciting thing in the Mountain West. If only the Wyoming fan base was as hardy. Boise State is coming off some very interesting second half comeback wins. Would imagine we will see the J-Train rolling hot into Laramie on Saturday night, and the team that doesn’t kill themselves with turnovers and penalties will win.

Boise State is going to have to defend just as well as ever. Ben Weaver said during the radio show on Monday night, “Lots of incentive to go 3 and out, you could get back to the heaters.” Well, lucky you, Mr. Weaver! Hold Wyoming and their big, tough RB to 3 and outs and you can totally hang out by the heaters again this weekend!

Just maybe stick with the gas heaters instead of what happened in the first half vs. SDSU.

There is a lot of speculation floating around about how the end of the season is going to look. The Broncos must stay focused on the task at hand – winning this game, this week. The ‘Boys aren’t going to be an easy team to beat. As satisfying as it would be to see Boise State put a ton of points on Wyoming (mostly to add to the fan misery complex), The Broncos haven’t been consistent enough on the road to make that prediction. They do, however, seem to really care about each other and have bought into their own message. That ol’ Bronco Magic was never magic, and we all knew it. The miracles, the amazing victories, the battles with Goliaths, was all driven by this enviable philosophy that Hars and his intense band of coaches has so successfully translated to millennial speak.

I don’t think Craig Bohl has that at Wyoming yet. Thats why Cowboys fans are despondent on the message boards, and while tickets sell, they’re getting Vandal numbers through the doors. The fans will show up in slightly bigger numbers for this game because Boise State coming to town with ESPN and dat cash in tow is kind of a big deal. They took down the guys that took down Boise…maybe it’s possible for the Cowboys to out tough the Broncos on a cold and windy night over seven thousand feet.

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We did see Tony Hawk fall off a real-deal hoverboard this week. Anything is possible.

It’s also just as likely that Boise State puts together a true 4 quarter game and shuts up everybody who whines about being a second half team now. Or about how late the games are. Or about how cold it is outside. Broncos care about one thing: playing the best football game that can be played. Bronco Nation better hurry up and get with the program en masse or the team will leave them behind, just like they are conference opponents these days. The Broncos don’t have time for it. They’ve got a championship to bring home.

This Week at the Diggity’s – Week 12 (Never Stop Believin’)

It’s hard to believe that a team from so far away could become our newest rival but San Diego State has accomplished that feat. I suppose that will happen when you lose two games consecutively. It’s a Black Out tonight.  I’m not sure the thermometer had to play along.  Stay warm, my friends.

Black Out!

Black Out!

“That Presbyterian College gave us a really good challenge!” – No team ever. C’mon Ole Miss. Why would you even schedule them? You can get more worth from an intrasquad scrimmage….Hey! Eastern Washington! Would you mind turning the color of your field down. Holy Hannah it’s bright!…I hope Boise State never had to  “rebuild” like Idaho does. I’d still be a fan but to be optimistic about a under-2 year record of 2-18 would be a tough pill to swallow.I’m in shock right now. Still the first quarter and the Broncos are stinking up the joint….Crazy halftime score. The Broncos have over 400 yards of offense and 35 points and is still down by 7. Hopefully, the defense removes their heads from their posterior….OMG. The Broncos step up the defense and out scored New Mexico 25-7 in the second half to win. The final score: 60-49. And they followed my plan!

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These are the college football games that I forced Mrs. Diggity to sit through (save one): Wake Forest/Clemson, Fordham/Bucknell, Memphis/Temple, Utah State/Wyoming, Georgia/Kentucky, Presbyterian College/Ole Miss, Oklahoma/Baylor, Notre Dame/Arizona State, Texas A&M/Auburn, Mississippi State/Tennessee-Martin, Michigan/Northwestern, Eastern Washington/Montana, SDSU/Idaho, Boise State/New Mexico, Alabama/LSU, Oregon/Utah, Washington/UCLA….ESPN anchors – please stop TRYING to be cool. If it’s organic, by all means, do it. But most of the time, you’re making a fool of yourselves. Don’t say “swag” or “turnt up” or even “fo’ swizzle”. Please….Congratulations to Grant Hedrick and Dan Goodale. The both won Mountain West Player of the week. Grant for offense and Dan for special teams. Way to represent….Also, Grant wins the Capital One Impact Player of the Week. That’s a fan-voted award from ESPN. And those fans are absolutely correct. If the Broncos don’t get that performance, they don’t win….

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LeBron won’t let his sons play football. I just don’t get it. If it’s something they enjoy, let them enjoy it. That goes for anything. Within reason of course…I was going through the onscreen cable guide and noticed “Doc McStuffins”. I know that it’s on The Disney Channel but doesn’t that sound like the name of a character in a porn movie?…I agreed with Stephan A. Smith AND Skip Bayless when they were disappointed with Derrick Rose saying he thinks about after he’s done playing basketball when he sits out of a game. I think it’s the wrong mindset for any athlete to have much less someone that’s getting paid millions….I’m sure 1 or 2 people might sing “Mony, Mony” with you if you roll around blasting it but I’m thinking you get more “WTF” looks than anything….This week’s Bowl Projections have Boise State in a couple of places. Mark Schlabach predicts the Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl against Stanford while Brett McMurphy says Arizona State in the Fiesta Bowl. Those would both be top-tier opponents but I lean towards the Fiesta Bowl….Hey! Who cares about Kim Kardashian’s posterior?…I was watching a local commercial and it had words scrolling at the bottom to the left. It totally tripped me out….Little Caesar’s box says to try their “Award Winning” deep dish pizza. The award it won? “Best Deep Dish” at Motor City Fest 2013. C’mon now. That’s like winning something at the Elmore County Fair. You can’t brag about that award….Despite having two good backs and a great receiver, the quarterback play is what kills the Fightin’ Rockys.  And, since Boise State’s quarterback play has been pretty ok recently, that’s where the difference lies. Grant may not have a monster game like last week but he’ll do well enough to destroy SDSU’s defense which leaves them vulnerable to getting stuck in the way of the Jay Train.  I’m going to say, Boise State 51, SDSU 24. The Blue Turf Monster bites back!

The song of the week is for the people who didn’t turn off the New Mexico game at halftime. I give to you:

Again, stay warm, be loud, and have fun tonight Bronco Nation. Your team needs you to disrupt the Aztecs rhythm, damage the Aztecs confidence, and encourage our team til you can’t talk anymore.  Take care!