BTN Playoff Rankings & Access Bowl Rankings

cfpHeath

Playoff Rankings

1.) Florida State

2.) Alabama

3.) TCU

4.) Oregon

On the outside looking in – Baylor, Ohio State.

Breakdown: For me this week not a lot changed. Mississippi State is out, Alabama (puke) is in. I refuse to give two spots to the SEC and and my personal rankings will continue to show that. Some people might have TCU out because of a lackluster performance. However I still think they are the team that should come out of the Big-12 overall. Yes, they lost to Baylor but overall they have done some really great things this season. I could easily put Baylor in their spot but right now I am holding onto TCU. As for Florida State, I was really happy thinking they were going to lose to Miami. But, because they won, I begrudgingly keep them as the #1 team, somebody has to beat them for them to disappear. Lastly, I have Oregon, and I have to say it sure does seem like a lot of teams I really dislike are in the top 4 and it sucks. But the Pac-12 deserves a team in the tournament and right now Oregon is the team in line.


Access Bowl Rankings

1.) Marshall

2.) Boise State

3.) Colorado State

4.) Air Force

5.) Cincinnati

I know, I heard it from Boise State fans last week, and I will hear it again. But I just don’t see Boise State’s 2 losses outdoing Marshall’s undefeated record right now in the committees mind. Trust me, I hope I am wrong, and I would love to say I am wrong if indeed that is the case. But I just don’t see it right now, and frankly Boise State still has a long way to go before they change my mind. I am as die-hard as anybody but in this situation after all the years of BCS letdowns, I just don’t see us as the team right now. A Mountain West Championship could change my mind. Marshall right now though has the edge though and I sit here just waiting for a loss. The “big” difference in my rankings this week is ECU is out of contention and Air Force with Cincinnati moves in. To be honest, I don’t really feel like anybody after my top 3 deserve a shot. But considering chaos is still a possibility here those are my next two teams right now.


 Noel

Playoff Rankings

1.) Florida State

2.) Oregon

3.) Alabama

4.) TCU

On the outside looking in – Mississippi State, Ohio State.

Breakdown: With Mississippi State and Arizona State losing, it clears out the picture just a little. Well, to me at least. I had thought that the Bulldogs and Sun Devils were going to take care of business but no dice.  Alabama showed that they can get the big wins most of the time.  I didn’t move Florida State because of what I said last week.  They’re undefeated for the better part of 2 years.  Just because they play like a bottom-feeder doesn’t mean they should penalized like they lost.  I moved Oregon up to #2 and Alabama at #3 because that would be a fun semifinal to watch.  TCU won ugly, but they won so they get to stay put. The Bulldogs and the Buckeyes are on the outside looking in. It may well stay that way because the top 4 are pretty strong.


 

Access Bowl Rankings

1.) Marshall

2.) Boise State

3.) Georgia Southern

4.) Colorado State

5.) Air Force

 

Breakdown: Just like Heath, I’m going to give the nod to Marshall. They’re currently ahead of Boise State in the AP Poll (I know that means little) but since no one from a non-power conference is ranked in the College Football Playoff, that’s all I have to go from.  The only way the Broncos slide up in there is if the Thundering Herd falls.  I keep putting Georgia Southern in there because they are a triple option team that’s undefeated. No matter how much you prepare, triple option teams are tough.  I put Colorado State and Air Force in because, quite frankly, there aren’t a bunch of options.  But those teams need a Pandora’s Box of other teams’ failures to even be considered.


Tami

Playoff Rankings

1.) Florida State

2.) Oregon

3.) Alabama

4.) TCU

Breakdown: Man, that Mississippi State/Bama game was a doozy, wasn’t it? It exposed the Bulldogs for what they are though – not the best team in the SEC. So, up moves Bama to number 3. I think Oregon has that #2 on lock. Florida State is still doing Florida State things, so on top they remain. TCU is a solid 4 for now, but if Mississippi State wins out, they are in jeopardy of being jumped. Texas just won’t bring enough SOS to bail the Horned Frogs out if it’s a close game.


Access Bowl Rankings

1.) Marshall

2.) Boise State

3.) Colorado State

4.) Northern Illinois

5.) Air Force

Breakdown: Logic brain says that the committee seems to be holding SOS in less esteem than the BCS used to. That being undefeated with that weak of a schedule is going to keep Marshall out of the access bowl because their behavior is consistent with that decision, even if they aren’t ranking any G5 team as of yet. The angel on the shoulder is screaming about hypocrisy and that Marshall was only capable of playing the schedule in front of them and “should be” rewarded for going undefeated because that’s “fair.” Just because the angel’s view is what allows me to sleep at night doesn’t mean she’s correct. So, hey, the cold auditor in my brain is telling me to prepare for Boise State to end up ranked and headed to Glendale to meet our fates with whatever poor schmoe gets assigned this Broncos squad. Still putting them at #2 for now. Colorado State, owners of the best record in the MWC lost the head to head to Boise, so #3 you go. Northern Illinois is likely going to win the MAC this season, too bad the MAC is kinda terrible right now. Air Force brings up the fifth spot, but has virtually no chance of making an access bowl without the intervention of the chaos monster.

Attack The Opponent: Wyoming Cowboys

The Cowboys are 4-6 under first year head coach Craig Bohl, somehow beating Air Force and Fresno in conference. They nearly took out Colorado State, hailed by many as the best team in the MWC right now. They haven’t really truly been blown out by anybody in the Mountain West. All that combined with the fact that their place might be the second hardest place to play in conference other than Boise State makes the game coming up this Saturday require inordinate focus.

Playing at Wyoming seems like it would be the exact opposite experience of a Bronco home game. Whereas Albertsons Stadium is a riot of bright blue and orange and noise, War Memorial Stadium is a drab and fairly sparse collection of folks in brown and yellow. The wind howls and the snow blows and momentum can get sucked away like a dementor feeding on joy.

patronus-cp

Harsin and Ginny Weasley share a patronus. #hashtagHPGeek

Then again, the Broncos are on a roll. The Cowboys will be tough, because that’s kind of the Cowboy deal all-around. Those guys don’t just lay down, roll over, and die. Nobody is going to do that anymore, and it’s making football a much more exciting thing in the Mountain West. If only the Wyoming fan base was as hardy. Boise State is coming off some very interesting second half comeback wins. Would imagine we will see the J-Train rolling hot into Laramie on Saturday night, and the team that doesn’t kill themselves with turnovers and penalties will win.

Boise State is going to have to defend just as well as ever. Ben Weaver said during the radio show on Monday night, “Lots of incentive to go 3 and out, you could get back to the heaters.” Well, lucky you, Mr. Weaver! Hold Wyoming and their big, tough RB to 3 and outs and you can totally hang out by the heaters again this weekend!

Just maybe stick with the gas heaters instead of what happened in the first half vs. SDSU.

There is a lot of speculation floating around about how the end of the season is going to look. The Broncos must stay focused on the task at hand – winning this game, this week. The ‘Boys aren’t going to be an easy team to beat. As satisfying as it would be to see Boise State put a ton of points on Wyoming (mostly to add to the fan misery complex), The Broncos haven’t been consistent enough on the road to make that prediction. They do, however, seem to really care about each other and have bought into their own message. That ol’ Bronco Magic was never magic, and we all knew it. The miracles, the amazing victories, the battles with Goliaths, was all driven by this enviable philosophy that Hars and his intense band of coaches has so successfully translated to millennial speak.

I don’t think Craig Bohl has that at Wyoming yet. Thats why Cowboys fans are despondent on the message boards, and while tickets sell, they’re getting Vandal numbers through the doors. The fans will show up in slightly bigger numbers for this game because Boise State coming to town with ESPN and dat cash in tow is kind of a big deal. They took down the guys that took down Boise…maybe it’s possible for the Cowboys to out tough the Broncos on a cold and windy night over seven thousand feet.

hjpryj9vam4femzbnfve

We did see Tony Hawk fall off a real-deal hoverboard this week. Anything is possible.

It’s also just as likely that Boise State puts together a true 4 quarter game and shuts up everybody who whines about being a second half team now. Or about how late the games are. Or about how cold it is outside. Broncos care about one thing: playing the best football game that can be played. Bronco Nation better hurry up and get with the program en masse or the team will leave them behind, just like they are conference opponents these days. The Broncos don’t have time for it. They’ve got a championship to bring home.

This Week at the Diggity’s – Week 12 (Never Stop Believin’)

It’s hard to believe that a team from so far away could become our newest rival but San Diego State has accomplished that feat. I suppose that will happen when you lose two games consecutively. It’s a Black Out tonight.  I’m not sure the thermometer had to play along.  Stay warm, my friends.

Black Out!

Black Out!

“That Presbyterian College gave us a really good challenge!” – No team ever. C’mon Ole Miss. Why would you even schedule them? You can get more worth from an intrasquad scrimmage….Hey! Eastern Washington! Would you mind turning the color of your field down. Holy Hannah it’s bright!…I hope Boise State never had to  “rebuild” like Idaho does. I’d still be a fan but to be optimistic about a under-2 year record of 2-18 would be a tough pill to swallow.I’m in shock right now. Still the first quarter and the Broncos are stinking up the joint….Crazy halftime score. The Broncos have over 400 yards of offense and 35 points and is still down by 7. Hopefully, the defense removes their heads from their posterior….OMG. The Broncos step up the defense and out scored New Mexico 25-7 in the second half to win. The final score: 60-49. And they followed my plan!

IMG_1592[1]

These are the college football games that I forced Mrs. Diggity to sit through (save one): Wake Forest/Clemson, Fordham/Bucknell, Memphis/Temple, Utah State/Wyoming, Georgia/Kentucky, Presbyterian College/Ole Miss, Oklahoma/Baylor, Notre Dame/Arizona State, Texas A&M/Auburn, Mississippi State/Tennessee-Martin, Michigan/Northwestern, Eastern Washington/Montana, SDSU/Idaho, Boise State/New Mexico, Alabama/LSU, Oregon/Utah, Washington/UCLA….ESPN anchors – please stop TRYING to be cool. If it’s organic, by all means, do it. But most of the time, you’re making a fool of yourselves. Don’t say “swag” or “turnt up” or even “fo’ swizzle”. Please….Congratulations to Grant Hedrick and Dan Goodale. The both won Mountain West Player of the week. Grant for offense and Dan for special teams. Way to represent….Also, Grant wins the Capital One Impact Player of the Week. That’s a fan-voted award from ESPN. And those fans are absolutely correct. If the Broncos don’t get that performance, they don’t win….

FullSizeRender[1]

LeBron won’t let his sons play football. I just don’t get it. If it’s something they enjoy, let them enjoy it. That goes for anything. Within reason of course…I was going through the onscreen cable guide and noticed “Doc McStuffins”. I know that it’s on The Disney Channel but doesn’t that sound like the name of a character in a porn movie?…I agreed with Stephan A. Smith AND Skip Bayless when they were disappointed with Derrick Rose saying he thinks about after he’s done playing basketball when he sits out of a game. I think it’s the wrong mindset for any athlete to have much less someone that’s getting paid millions….I’m sure 1 or 2 people might sing “Mony, Mony” with you if you roll around blasting it but I’m thinking you get more “WTF” looks than anything….This week’s Bowl Projections have Boise State in a couple of places. Mark Schlabach predicts the Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl against Stanford while Brett McMurphy says Arizona State in the Fiesta Bowl. Those would both be top-tier opponents but I lean towards the Fiesta Bowl….Hey! Who cares about Kim Kardashian’s posterior?…I was watching a local commercial and it had words scrolling at the bottom to the left. It totally tripped me out….Little Caesar’s box says to try their “Award Winning” deep dish pizza. The award it won? “Best Deep Dish” at Motor City Fest 2013. C’mon now. That’s like winning something at the Elmore County Fair. You can’t brag about that award….Despite having two good backs and a great receiver, the quarterback play is what kills the Fightin’ Rockys.  And, since Boise State’s quarterback play has been pretty ok recently, that’s where the difference lies. Grant may not have a monster game like last week but he’ll do well enough to destroy SDSU’s defense which leaves them vulnerable to getting stuck in the way of the Jay Train.  I’m going to say, Boise State 51, SDSU 24. The Blue Turf Monster bites back!

The song of the week is for the people who didn’t turn off the New Mexico game at halftime. I give to you:

Again, stay warm, be loud, and have fun tonight Bronco Nation. Your team needs you to disrupt the Aztecs rhythm, damage the Aztecs confidence, and encourage our team til you can’t talk anymore.  Take care!

BTN Predictions: Week 12 vs. San Diego State

Derek

I think it would be safe to bet that NOBODY predicted what was going to happen last week at New Mexico.  I said  that after a season of predicting blow-outs it would be a close game, but that is about all I got right.  This week it is back to Blow-out city for me.

Rocky long says there is no reason to be intimidated by Boise State or The Blue™ and to be fair, he shouldn’t be.  His Aztecs are one of only three teams with an active winning streak against Boise State (Arkansas and WSU are the other two). But the past two Boise State teams were different as we all know, and if Rocky thinks the games are going to go like they did in 2012 and 2013 he is better off playing the University of Washington.  This is a new era of Bronco.  This team needs no more motivation than the past two years, and the way they continue to develop and get better each week every team we play should be a bit nervous.  Harsin’s system is coming together, and on top of that we have not lost on the blue since SDSU in 2012.  There is some special energy in that new football facility, and I have no doubt that they will continue to Protect The Blue. Add in the bitter cold weather that our team has practiced in and we have all the ingredients for a blow-out.  Sorry Rocky, the mystique and intimidation of Boise State and Albertsons stadium is back. This team is  not just going to go HAM on you, this team is going to go full #HAMPanetHoth on you.  Boise State 45 SDSU 17

Noel

Last week was pretty fun, wasn’t it? Although the triple option is no joke, I’m sure Rocky Long has spent part of the week installing it at San Diego State.  The Aztecs have a great running back duo and could probably pull it off for a play or two. You know, just to freak Bronco Nation out.  But all jokes aside, despite having two good backs and a great receiver, the quarterback play is what kills the Fightin’ Rockys.  And, since Boise State’s quarterback play has been pretty ok recently, that’s where the difference lies. Grant may not have a monster game like last week but he’ll do well enough to destroy SDSU’s defense which leaves them vulnerable to getting stuck in the way of the Jay Train.  I’m going to say, Boise State 51, SDSU 24. The Blue Turf Monster bites back!

Tami

That New Mexico game was a total stunner. Were you not entertained? I was incredibly wrong in my pick for that one, so let’s hope for better luck this time. Look, SDSU is a pretty good team. Not spectacular, but they do have scoreboard on Boise State right now. I believe this game is going to be like the last 2 – coming down to special teams. Last week’s game doesn’t give me a whole lot of confidence about defending a big return especially well, but being at home in the cold in front of a blackout crowd, roaring and stomping on those bleachers seems to give the Broncos a mojo that just isn’t being recreated well on the road. Boise has played through adversity this season and has proven itself to not roll over when things get dicey. I like the odds of Boise getting a defining win on The Blue, but I don’t think it’ll be a blowout. Broncos – 38, SDSU – 31.

Heath

Weather.com right now says at kickoff we will be looking at 18 degree weather. The question is do you believe that it will play a factor in the game? For me, cold won’t change much in a game. It is the wind and precipitation that gets most players. Right now it looks like all is well on that front, the fans will just have to fight frigid temperatures. With that in mind I actually believe Boise State is going to jump on SDSU early and the Aztecs will struggle to keep pace. San Diego State has a solid defense, but this team has been off the charts at home. Jay Ajayi says this game is personal and I believe him. SDSU struggles to throw the ball and it will cause them to not be able to keep up with the Broncos and their intense furious pace I believe they will come out with. Final score, Boise State 42 San Diego State 20.

Gage

Brrrr… That is what the San Diego State players will be saying repetitively for 4 quarters Saturday. Weather will no doubt have a factor in this game & i’d like to believe the Broncos have an edge in that department. If it is near 18 degrees at kickoff, like it supposed to be, the Aztecs may reconsider football altogether.

Yet, if this game doesn’t scare you as Broncos fan, you may be teetering on the side of overly optimistic a tad much. Your fear shall not come from the Aztecs team itself; instead, it should come from the situation, the Broncos kryptonite, and November.The Broncos are the upset target each game, here on out. Every opponent, even if inferior will get up to try to beat them, e.x. New Mexico. …. San Diego State has the Broncos number somehow, someway. Losing two years in a row to a single team is unheard of in Bronco Land. The Aztecs will arrive on The Blue with swagger and confidence knowing they are capable of defeating the Broncos. …. November…nothing needs to be said about this atrocious month in regards to Boise State Football…the history speaks for itself.

As usual, if I predict a blowout win, it’ll be nail-bitter; if I predict a tight game, it’ll be a blowout. So… for the sake of my health and not wanting some form of heart disease at 50, I will predict a close game. REVERSE JINX DO YOUR MAGIC.  Boise State 27 San Diego State 21

BTN Playoff Rankings & Access Bowl Rankings

cfp

Heath’s Rankings

Playoff Rankings

1.) Florida State

2.) Mississippi State

3.) TCU

4.) Oregon

On the outside looking in – Alabama & Baylor

Breakdown: If you are an SEC fan reading this for some reason you are probably livid. The thing is though, I am the guy who never buys the SEC hype. Yes, the conference has reason to be confident and believe it is the “best”. But when it comes to the playoffs I don’t think that means you get 2-3 teams in just because. Look at other sports, the NFC West in the NFL is easily the best conference in the NFL, that doesn’t mean they get 3 teams this year into the tournament. I look at the CFB playoff the exact same way. As far as my rankings go, I put Florida State at number one because to be the best, you have to beat the best. Do I like Florida State? No, I hate them, but everything considered I have to respect the product on the field. Mississippi State comes in at #2 because right now no team looks better to me, yet I still feel they are setup for a major letdown soon. TCU right now is the hot team in the country and though I really loathe the Horned Frogs, they deserve to be in. Gary Patterson transforming a team that was once all about defense into an offensive power has been really impressive to me. Then lastly we have Oregon, I have them here because I firmly believe they will win the rest of their games and the Pac-12 deserves to be represented. The conference has gotten much better as a whole over time and if Oregon wins out they should get a shot at the National Championship.


Access Bowl Rankings

1.) Marshall

2.) Boise State

3.) Colorado State

4.) ECU

5.) Nevada

Breakdown: Kills me to have Marshall at #1 right now and I know BSU fans are going to blast me because “look at the schedule”. Trust me, I get it, Marshall has beat nobody that makes you believe they are a great team. Even with that though I have to give the players on that team credit. You beat who you have on the schedule and let the rest sort itself out. Boise State at one time hated hearing about SOS and I assume their fans do as well. Weird turn of events for Boise State fans right? And yes, Boise State usually had at least 1 marquee game on their schedule and Marshall has nothing even close to that. I personally however give zero losses more respect than two losses even if it is against two good teams in Ole Miss and Air Force. After Boise State and Marshall I have Colorado State, and I am sure for CSU fans they are hating the position they are in. That conference champion rule right now is quite the pain in the you know what for them. But until BSU loses they can’t jump us on my list or any list for that matter. After that I have ECU and Nevada and neither to me are real contenders at this point. If some craziness happens and CSU, Marshall, and Boise State all meltdown then I will give them a harder look.


Noel’s Rankings

Playoff Rankings

1)Florida State

2)Mississippi State

3)Oregon

4)TCU

On the outside looking in: Alabama and Arizona State

Breakdown:  As much as I’m not a fan of Jameis Winston and his antics off the field, he seems to be the leader and has helped keep the Seminoles loss-free for the better part of 2 seasons.  Mississippi State is a close second because of FSU not losing.  Oregon and TCU can be either 3 or 4 bout I like the semifinal matchup of the Ducks and Bulldogs because of the dynamic that both their quarterbacks bring.  As far as Alabama and Arizona State, that will sort itself out with the Tide and MSU playing this weekend (Tide won’t Roll) and the Sun Devils getting Arizona in their rivalry game and Oregon in the PAC 12 Championship.  Anything can happen.  I hope that anything does.


Access Bowl Rankings

1)Marshall

2)Boise State

3)Georgia Southern

4)East Carolina

5)Colorado State

Breakdown:  Marshall? Yes, Marshall.  And it makes my wife happy because of Matthew McCanaughey.  They’re undefeated.  Have the really beaten anyone?  No but my #2 pick, your Boise State Broncos, lost to Air Force and a now twice-defeated Ole Miss.  The Broncos do have a clear path to the MWC Championship game if they can win out. I added Georgia Southern because they’re undefeated in the Sun Belt, which is AWFUL, and the triple option is horribly tough to defend, amirite? East Carolina could be a complete team but has fun “trip up” games that seem oddly familiar.  Colorado State – yeah no chance if they don’t get some luck.


Tami’s Rankings

Playoff Rankings

1.) Florida State

2.) Mississippi State

3.) Oregon

4.) TCU

On the outside looking in – Baylor, Bama

Breakdown: FSU needs to lose and lose hard. Ideally, they’ll trip against Miami because I would like to see the most heartbreak possible on Jameis’ smug face. Just don’t think it will happen with their remaining schedule. Thus, top spot. Mississippi (CLANGA) State is the best team in the SEC, despite the world’s Bama obsession. I also don’t think 2 teams from the SEC deserve to be in, for the reasons Nate outlined above. That leaves the last two. Oregon is interchangeable with Arizona State at this point – whoever walks out of the Pac championship game with a win goes to the playoff. I just don’t think the Sun Devils will survive the Ducks onslaught. TCU is a dangerous team right now, and could be the scariest team in the playoff picture. They may not win the whole thing, but they will probably take out their first round opponent and cause much wailing and gnashing of teeth in the process.


Access Bowl Rankings

1.) Marshall

2.) Colorado State

3.) Boise State

4.) Eastern Carolina

5.) Louisiana Tech

Breakdown: Marshall is undefeated. Until such time they lose, they are in the drivers seat. Yes, they have awful SOS, but they’re a pretty good football team who stands a chance of winning all their games. Winning them all is hard, no matter the conference, and I really just want the precedence set that undefeated means playing on New Years. I have CSU at number two because technically they are ahead of Boise State right now. I also don’t think that will last. Next is ECU because Pirates and a good record. Last is a wild La Tech appearing! Sure, they lost to an FCS school, but they also had a nice OOC schedule otherwise in Oklahoma and Auburn. Those are the only three losses on their schedule and theoretically, they could beat the Thundering Herd in the CUSA champ game. Let’s hope it doesn’t come to that. Or maybe do hope, because in my heart I want Boise State to play in an access bowl and Marshall must lose for that to happen.