Derek – Listen, I am not ever going to predict a Boise State loss. This is a homer blog and I am going to make homer picks. That does not mean I can not be slightly realistic when it comes to games. I have picked close games before (I think) and I may again. This will not be one of them. We lost on the Blue last week. It is senior night this week. The last time we lost back-to-back games at home was in 1997. It ain’t happening again this week. I don’t know if Air Force is feeling particularly confident, but whoever is running their social media is:
— Air Force Football (@AFFootball) November 20, 2015
Unless whoever is tweeting for them is a player, I have as much of a right to be confident as they do – neither of us have anything to do with the outcome. It will not be pretty for the Falcons. All of those dropped balls and overthrown passes last week will be completions this week, and all of those runs that were almost broke will be broken. The ball will bounce our way this week. Boise State 45 AF 10 #BEATEMDOWN
Josh – I bleed blue in every vein in my body but nightmares from last year continue to haunt me. Vegas must feel pretty lucky selecting Boise State as a favorite in this game, and I kinda wish they made the Broncos an underdog because they seem to play their best games that way. Air Force is very similar to the last team to break Boise’s 18-game home win streak, yet they’re more effective and have a better passing game. Double uh-oh (our secondary is definitely our weakest link right now). It seems the triple option will forever doom the Broncos. Keys to a Boise State win would be limited big plays, red zone efficiency, and PROTECTING THE FOOTBALL. Turnovers are pastries, and also the biggest factor in whether or not you win a football game. With Boise’s recent struggles, they would need to play at 120% to come out with the W- which is totally doable. I really hope Harsin prints and tapes Air Force’s tweet in the locker room to fire them up. Air Force 31 Boise State 27 p.s. I’m also hoping by predicting Boise losing that by some reverse-magnetic magical changing fate that it makes them win (Football fans are pretty superstitious-all my Boise State friends blame me attending the New Mexico game for the loss)
Jonathan– Boise State lost last week to an opposition that clearly they should have dominated. But did they beat us or did we beat ourselves? Boise State has not lost 2 games in a row since 2007 and I don’t see that happening this week. The option has always been tough for Boise to handle but I think the defense finds a way to handle it tonight. There is no way this senior class will lose this game. It is a must win if the Broncos want to have a shot at the Mountain West championship game. I also think the offense goes off tonight. Rypien will have this receiving core back on track and catches will be made unlike last week when the receivers couldn’t catch a cold. I believe Boise State dominated this game, but it will be a tough fought game. Boise State 41 Air Force 17
Tami – I really hope that everyone else is correct in calling for a blowout and I am more wrong than ever before, but I just can’t see this being a big win for the Broncos, or even a comfortable one. Possibly, not even a win at all. AFA is a good football team. Boise should be a better football team, but not if they can’t defend successfully or score more than 33% of the time from the red zone. The unthinkable will become sudden reality unless those things are fixed. I’m picking a Bronco win here because Vegas (Boise +0.5) and Homerism, but this thing is going to be just stupidly, infuriatingly close. The season is saved on a Rau$a clutch kick. Broncos 30, Zoomies 27.