Temperature is rising in the Treasure Valley, must mean football season isn’t all that far away. Rumors of a new helmet and possibly new jerseys? Yep, it’s definitely July. Figured now is a good time for some Boise State football predictions. Before I get to my 2014 predictions, lets take a step back and make of fun of me for my 2013 predictions.
Football is a team game, but make no mistake about it…missing ASJ would be a huge loss for the Huskies. His shaky status is tough to predict, and makes this game tough to decipher…….Broncos 29, Huskies 23.
With Robbie Rouse gone, lacking an established run game, you would have to think the stout Bronco D-Line will have another field day with Carr and the Bulldog offense. I’ll give the Fresno hype train the benefit of the doubt and give Fresno 24 points. That is more points than the last 3 contests against BSU combined. That said, that point total will not be enough…….Broncos 37, Bulldogs 24.
Bronco-Wolf Pack games are typically hard-fought games, but UNR has entered a new era. I think the Broncos win by around 3 TDs, but it could be worse if the wheels fall off the wagon in this new regime in Reno…….Broncos 37, Wolf Pack 17.
Anyways, there are my predictions! I’ll probably be very wrong on all the scores, but I am confident the Broncos go either 12-0 or 11-1 (loss to Washington) this upcoming season. In Pete we trust! The Broncos will more than likely be inviting one of Fresno State, San Diego State, or San Jose State to Boise on the first weekend of December for the MWC Championship game.
Glad that’s over. Let that serve as evidence that I have no idea what I’m talking about. Take these predictions with a grain of salt, and if you’re angry with my picks please fling your internet poo at me and not my BTN mates.
Thursday, August 28th. Ole Miss (Game is played in Atlanta)
It feels like it has been an eternity since Harsin took the job as head coach. Lots of exciting assault on the future has occurred in these last 6 months, but the Harsin era opens with the brutal task of taking on a sure-to-be ranked Ole Miss team in the south. Another season, another highly touted opponent on the road. Things have not gone well for the Broncos in these openers since Kellen graduated. In fact, we’ve scored a whopping 19 points in the Michigan State and Washington games combined. With a brand new offense and a young O-Line taking on a dominant and extremely talented Ole Miss defense, I doubt we see much better in this edition of openers. I hope I’m wrong, but I see Ole Miss covering the spread fairly easily……Broncos 14, Rebels 33.
Saturday, September 6th. Colorado State
Broncos won’t have a lot of time to mope around. Harsin’s debut in front of Bronco Nation will be late at night vs. the Rams of Ft. Collins. Last years game was a struggle for an injured Bronco defense, but Grant Hedrick actually had a field day vs. CSU. The Rams lose a lot of starters in the trenches, and will be without their top 3 rushers from 2013, including Kapri Bibbs. The Rams have a nice schedule that could get them another 8-win season, but I think they struggle on The Blue……Broncos 37, Rams 19.
Saturday, September 13th. @Connecticut
This is a really long trip. Not often the Broncos play a game all the way on the east coast. Bob Diaco and the Huskies are trying to turn the page on a rough 2013 campaign. They’ll be a young team replacing many starters, but sometimes that isn’t a bad thing when you lost so many games. I think the Broncos may struggle early on, but they’ll manage to win comfortably as the Huskies learn how to win games under Diaco……Broncos 35, Huskies 24.
Saturday, September 20th. Louisiana don’t call us UL-Lafayette
The Ragin’ Cajuns come to Boise after playing common opponent Ole Miss on the road. Louisiana returns a significant amount of starters on both offense and defense, and managed to beat Harsin’s Arkansas State Red Wolves in 2013. Despite all that, I think things will be quite a bit different on the blue turf. Like the Colorado State and UCONN games, I think the Cajuns stick around in this one for a while but ultimately lose by three TDs or so……Broncos 42, Ragin’ Cajuns 22.
Saturday, September 27th. @Air Force
What on earth happened to Troy Calhoun and the fly boys in 2013? That double-digit loss season came out of nowhere. Air Force’s defenses are routinely undersized, but for some reason that seemed to play a larger role than usual. The triple option is always difficult to defend, but we have the LB and DE corps to stay disciplined enough to keep them at bay. Jay Ajayi should have another huge day….Broncos 44, Falcons 21.
Saturday, October 4th. @Nevada
Back-to-back road games always suck. Last year injuries were a big deal in Ft. Collins, the second of our only back-to-back road games in 2013 (BYU/Colorado State). We played Kharyee Marshall at DT for a while! Here’s hoping injuries aren’t a big deal this time around. I don’t get Brian Polian’s teams. They looked great against San Jose State, absolutely horrible vs. UNLV. Inconsistent, and slightly underachieving. Will Fajardo be healthy? Seems like a given that he’ll play hurt. The Wolf Pack return a lot of starters, most in the MWC for that matter. This is a potential trap game for Harsin and the staff. I think we squeak this one out…..Broncos 29, Wolf Pack 27.
Friday, October 17th. Fresno State
This game. Many Bronco fans have anxiously awaited this game in particular. None of us enjoyed seeing Southwick and the team fight like their lives depended on it vs. Lord Derek Carr and the Bulldoggies, only to come up 6 yards too short. Fresno loses a tremendous amount of talent on offense. Carr, Adams, Burse, Wenworth, Jensen, the list is long. I’m siding with history on this one. Hawaii 2007, Colt Brennan eviscerated the Bronco defense. Nevada 2010, Colin Kaepernick did the same. What do UH and Reno have in common? The following year they lost their star QBs, and returned to Bronco Stadium and had their offenses, which dominated BSU the year before, dominated themselves. Hawaii scored 7 points. Nevada was held to 182 total yards! I expect Yates and the Bronco defense to come up big in this game…..Broncos 27, Bulldogs 10.
Friday, October 24th. Brigham Young
Back-to-back big games! Hope Bronco Nation has the energy to make Albertsons Stadium a nightmare for both Fresno and BYU. There’s really no way around it; Taysom Hill and the Cougars whipped the Broncos last fall in Provo. We simply were not physical enough to play with them. I’m not sure if much has changed in that department. Not having to deal with Kyle Van Noy will be nice. Coming off an emotional rivalry game the week before will make this game even tougher. I can’t stand BYU, but unfortunately see the Broncos dropping this one…..Broncos 18, Cougars 27.
Saturday, November 8th. @New Mexico
The Broncos get a much-needed bye before they travel to land of Walter White to play the Lobos. Last years game vs. New Mexico had a somber feel to it. Coming off a loss to SDSU (again), the vibe was off in Bronco Stadium. Still managed to win fairly convincingly. This is going to be year #3 for Bob Davie, and with a recruiting class of JC players coming to help, the Lobos are hoping to surprise this fall. Our last trip to Albuquerque was not one many Bronco fans want to remember. Narrowly beating a down-in-the-dumps 2012 Lobos team was a rude awakening to the fact that we were truly in a new era of the Petersen regime. I expect the Lobos to come out swinging, but the game won’t be quite as close this time around……Broncos 41, Lobos 17.
Saturday, November 15th. San Diego State
This team, man. They are annoying. The Aztecs have knocked off Boise State back-to-back seasons, both times it appeared the Broncos were severely out-coached. Will Harsin and Sanford fair better vs. Long’s complicated defense than Petersen and Prince did? I’m not sure, but I am sure that I’m getting sick of this Aztecs team. I want to win by 50, but think we’ll see another closely fought game. Either way, I don’t want to live in a world where the Aztecs beat us three consecutive seasons. Please Bryan Harsin, do not lose to San Diego State…..Broncos 26, Aztecs 13.
Saturday, November 22nd. @Wyoming
This game might be a little cold. Wyoming fired Dave Christensen, so no more post game tirades for us. They actually made a fantastic hire in Craig Bohl, the former North Dakota State coach who won three national championships. Unfortunately for Bohl, Wyoming loses Brett Smith and Robert Herron. Pretty much the only Cowboy players Boise State fans could name off. Shaun Wick returns and Eddie Yarbrough may be the MW’s best DE, but I think the Cowboys will be in rebuilding mode while Bohl revamps this roster…..Broncos 37, Cowboys 17.
Saturday, November 29th. Utah State
When was the last time we had a meaningful opponent on Senior Night? Been awhile. Utah State and the vaunted Chuckie Keeton come to town in what is sure to be one of the MW’s best games of the season. Utah State loses more starters than any team in the country according to Phil Steele, so that can’t be good. The Aggies will have played 8 consecutive games without a bye entering this game, that can’t be good either. Still, I’m told despite his healing knee, Chuckie Keeton trumps all arguments that Utah State will have any struggles this season. Some preseason magazines have the Aggies winning the conference. I guess we’ll see. I forecast a close game…..Broncos 30, Aggies 26.
There you have it. I say 10-2, a successful first season under Harsin. As evidenced in this post, I’m bound to be very wrong about these picks. Enough about me….how do you think the Broncos will do in Harsin’s first season? Comment below or reply to @TheBTN on Twitter.